Weathering Risk

In a world facing complex risks compounded by climate change, Weathering Risk is a multilateral initiative that offers tailored analysis and tools to understand climate and environmental security risks to human security and build sustainable peace.

  • initiated by the German Federal Foreign Office and supported by Denmark, Norway, Ireland, the United Kingdom, Colombia and Guyana;
  • aims to facilitate risk-informed planning, enhance capacity for action and improve operational responses;
  • integrates state-of-the-art climate impact data and expert conflict analysis through its replicable methodology;
  • includes a 'Peace Pillar' that translates climate-security foresight and analysis into peacemaking action in Iraq, Yemen, Somalia, Nigeria and the Bay of Bengal.
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© Attila Csipe/shutterstock.com
Analysis & Foresight
Scientific analysis to inform policymaking

Weathering Risk unites state-of-the-art climate security impact data and expert conflict analysis to bridge the gaps in our understanding of climate change impacts on peace and security. It provides analysis, capacity support tools, dialogues and trainings to promote peace and resilience in a changing climate.

Our forward-looking analysis uses spatially disaggregated climate impact data, scenarios, combines qualitative and quantitative research and identifies entry points to facilitate policies and interventions that are informed by climate-security risks. 

Projects have spanned the African continent, the Pacific, Yemen, Jordan and Iraq and continue to expand to new geographies and regions. 

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An aerial photograph of a landscape with dry riverbeds
Climate-informed peacebuilding
The Weathering Risk Peace Pillar

The Peace Pillar translates Weathering Risk's climate-security analysis into peacebuilding action where it is needed most.

Five peacebuilding projects are being piloted, two by the Berghof Foundation – in Iraq and Somalia –two by the Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue in Nigeria and the Bay of Bengal and one in Yemen by the European Institute of Peace. 

Each project is implemented in partnership with local partners, with the Weathering Risk Peace Pillar providing technical advice, tools and capacity support on the integration of climate risk information. We conduct trainings with the different project teams, offer bespoke guidance to evaluate impact of these pilots on both peace and climate resilience. adelphi coordinates the evaluation and knowledge management across the programme to ensure cross-learning across pilot projects and that the lessons can be amplified to inform programming globally. 

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Publications
Latest analysis and reports
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Research & analysis

Innovative climate data and state-of-the-art quantitative methods identify the current and future impacts of climate change. This is combined with on-the-ground qualitative research at different scales and from diverse geographies to build up a comprehensive analysis of compound climate and security risks. Access the methodology paper here.

Capacity support tools

Our climate-security risk analysis is used to produce politically and programmatically relevant information and tools that support decision making. Through serious games, detailed forecasting and a replicable assessment methodology, we identify the right questions to ask and how to make use of the available information.

Dialogues & training

We initiate timely, politically pertinent discussions that convene, connect, and bolster the growing community of practice on climate security. Using our analysis to inform the discourse, we support the translation of dialogue to action by developing tailored trainings that support policymakers and implementing partners in integrating climate security risk analysis into strategic and operational processes.

Events
Climate Security on the agenda
  • Oslo Forum
    © Oslo Forum

    Weathering Risk at the Oslo Forum

    12.06.2024
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    The Oslo Forum offers a platform for global leaders, mediators, conflict parties and experts to exchange around peace and dialogue opportunities in fragile and conflict-affected contexts. The inclusion of environmental and climate-related factors in peacemaking now figures highly on the Forum’s agenda.
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© Attila Csipe/shutterstock.com
About us
A multidisciplinary and multilateral initiative

Weathering Risk is led by an interdisciplinary project team at adelphi. A multilateral Strategic Advisory Board of leading figures in development, environmental, foreign and security policy guides the work. A broad range of international partner organisations and donor governments ensures that our unique effort brings the climate security community together.

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About us