This mapping exercise provides an overview of relevant actors and frameworks in Eastern Africa, focusing on the interlinkages between climate, peace and security in the region so that opportunities, challenges, entry points and targets for greater resource and capacity engagement can be targeted.

Weathering Risk’s Climate Risk Profile: Jordan provides forward-looking data on the climate in Jordan with the goal of supporting resilience-oriented short to long-term planning. The profile summarizes projected climate parameters and related sectoral impacts under two different emissions scenarios from now until 2080.

Climate, Peace and Security Assessment: Mali is the first full-length national case study using the Weathering Risk methodology, combining state-of-the-art climate impacts data with on-the-ground conflict analysis. It provides a ground-breaking level of detail into a country long seen as a hotspot for compound climate change and conflict risks.

Weathering Risk’s Climate Risk Profile: Iraq provides forward-looking data on the climatic situation in Iraq with the goal of supporting resilience-oriented long-term planning. The paper summarizes projected climate parameters and related sectoral impacts under two different emissions scenarios from now until 2080.

This scenario-based analysis explores four possible future climate security scenarios for the Levant, in order to anticipate future risks and identify priority policy areas. It looks particularly at how different degrees of technological availability and international cooperation could lead to different outcomes in the region.

In this report, Superforecasters spotlight key indicators that G7 decision-makers should monitor over the next decade to provide early warning of the threats that climate change poses to global stability and human security.

Weathering Risk’s Climate Risk Profile: Somalia provides policymakers and practitioners in the field with an overview of projected climate parameters and related impacts on different sectors from now until 2080 under two different climate change scenarios. This is the first step in building a risk-informed climate security analysis.

This paper proposes practical ways for the UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali (MINUSMA) to operationalise parts of its mandate linked to the climate and environment, including guidance on the role of a specific environmental and climate security advisor.

The Weathering Risk project uses an innovative methodology that unpacks the complex relationship between climate change and insecurity and identifies entry points for action.