This executive summary of the forthcoming African Climate Security Risk Assessment summarises insights on climate change, peace, and security in Africa. The report itself was requested by the African Union Peace and Security Council (AU-PSC) and is the result of the collaboration between the African Union Commission for Political Affairs, Peace and Security (AUC-PAPS) and adelphi.

As exclusion is a key driver of climate vulnerability, insecurity and conflict, climate action for peace can only happen in conjunction with a focus on inclusion. However, despite advancements in the Climate, Peace and Security agenda, marginalised groups are often left out of conversations. This practical note calls on climate, peace and security researchers, practitioners and policymakers to mainstream inclusion throughout all their areas of work.

The Climate Risk Profile for Southern Africa provides forward-looking data on the climate in Southern Africa with the goal of supporting resilience-oriented short to long-term planning. The profile summarises projected climate parameters and related sectoral impacts under two different emissions scenarios from now until 2080.

In 2022, the United Nations and Haiti’s Ministry of the Environment took the initiative to establish the Haiti Climate Security Working Group, bringing together UN agencies, international organisations, Haitian government institutions and civil society organisations. To help guide the work of this group, adelphi led a collaborative effort to undertake a study mapping out the linkages between climate, peace and security in Haiti, applying the methodology of the Weathering Risk initiative.

This case study identified key challenges Jordan faces in better mainstreaming climate security into its policy framework. Several tools to support decision makers in Jordan and international partners better integrate climate security considerations within Jordan's policy mix are also presented.

The new Pacific Climate Security Assessment guide aims to support Pacific Island Countries to collectively and individually uncover, assess and respond to climate security implications for their peoples, prosperity and peace. The Assessment Guide builds off of the Weathering Risk initiative’s methodology, and was undertaken by adelphi in collaboration with the UNDP, IOM and PIF as a part of the UNPBF funded “Climate Security in the Pacific” project.

This study explores the effects of climate impacts such as extreme heat and water stress as risks to peace and human security in the Somali Region of Ethiopia. It identifies five key climate insecurity pathways as well as entry points and priorities as guidance for future climate- and conflict-sensitive, peace-oriented programming in the region.

This paper reviews the empirical evidence of how economic, social, political, legal, environmental, demographic, and military-strategic factors influence the relationship between climate and security.

The new summary report on ‘Climate Security Scenarios in the Balkans’ examines climate security futures for the Western Balkans region and identifies entry points for anticipatory action on climate resilience for NATO and the EU. The findings of the paper are based on an interactive scenario exercise held at the Berlin Climate and Security Conference 2022.